One whole in this theory is your sentence "if Trump had faced Elizabeth Warren, or one of the other candidates the Democratic activist class had preferred, [he would have won". If that was true in 2020, why won't be it true in 2024? Appreciate what you say about novelty, dynamism etc but didn't that hold just as true four years ago?
One whole in this theory is your sentence "if Trump had faced Elizabeth Warren, or one of the other candidates the Democratic activist class had preferred, [he would have won". If that was true in 2020, why won't be it true in 2024? Appreciate what you say about novelty, dynamism etc but didn't that hold just as true four years ago?
I think thereтАЩs two important things: Biden in 2024 is not Biden in 2020. ThatтАЩs just a thing you can visibly see with your eyes, as strongly evidenced by the debate. (Now imagine endless TV ads and viral clips comparing how he was to how he is now, making тАЬcognitive declineтАЭ not just a right wing meme, but something that is very visibly actually true).
As for the alternatives like Warren etc, I think itтАЩs still the case that they would probably lose to Trump for the same reasons they wouldnтАЩt have won in 2020. But changing candidate the only roll of the dice the Democrats have left. Hopefully theyтАЩll pick some boring swing state governor British people have never heard of, rather than AOC or whoever.
One whole in this theory is your sentence "if Trump had faced Elizabeth Warren, or one of the other candidates the Democratic activist class had preferred, [he would have won". If that was true in 2020, why won't be it true in 2024? Appreciate what you say about novelty, dynamism etc but didn't that hold just as true four years ago?
I think thereтАЩs two important things: Biden in 2024 is not Biden in 2020. ThatтАЩs just a thing you can visibly see with your eyes, as strongly evidenced by the debate. (Now imagine endless TV ads and viral clips comparing how he was to how he is now, making тАЬcognitive declineтАЭ not just a right wing meme, but something that is very visibly actually true).
As for the alternatives like Warren etc, I think itтАЩs still the case that they would probably lose to Trump for the same reasons they wouldnтАЩt have won in 2020. But changing candidate the only roll of the dice the Democrats have left. Hopefully theyтАЩll pick some boring swing state governor British people have never heard of, rather than AOC or whoever.